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Majority support referendum on voting reform; AV+ preferred amongst Labour supporters

From @LabourList

Below are the results of the LabourList poll on voting reform, which was conducted between Monday and Wesnesday of this week:

ALL RESPONDENTS

I would like to see a referendum on the voting system held at the same time as the next general election:
Yes  75%
No  25%

My current preference for the voting system for the British Parliament is:
Alternative Vote  16%
Alternative Vote Plus  26%
First Past The Post  20%
Single Transferable Vote  37%
Other  1%


LABOUR MEMBERS OR SUPPORTERS

I would like to see a referendum on the voting system held at the same time as the next general election:
Yes  74%
No  26%

My current preference for the voting system for the British Parliament is:

Alternative Vote  19%
Alternative Vote Plus  33%
First Past The Post  23%
Single Transferable Vote  24%
Other  1%


NON LABOUR SUPPORTERS

I would like to see a referendum on the voting system held at the same time as the next general election:
Yes  79% 
No  21%

My current preference for the voting system for the British Parliament is:
Alternative Vote  10%
Alternative Vote Plus  14%
First Past The Post  14%
Single Transferable Vote  62%

 

REASONS CITED FOR RESPECTIVE PREFERENCES

ALTERNATIVE VOTE
* Fairest and most simple system to identify 50%+ of the vote to winning candidate.

* Must include compulsory voting like in Australia - Norwich showed the key issue is turnout of our voters.

* The Australian system of Alternative vote (or as we call it preferential voting) plus an elected House of Lords chosen by the proportional representation system.

* AV for the Commons, STV for the Lords.
   
ALTERNATIVE VOTE PLUS
* With 5 year fixed terms and term limits of 3 parliaments.

* To avoid the problems of AV+ creating two tiers of MPs - why not use the "+" element of top-up politicians from the list to elect the House of Lords? This would ensure a chamber of constituency MPs, tied to an area elected with 50% of the local vote and a chamber of regional/sub-regional "Lords" who are elected on a proportional basis.

FIRST PAST THE POST
* I believe that changing the system of voting in this country would be an uneccessary cost for the following reasons; it would be seen as electioneering by thhe majority of the public, it would damage Labour's electoral prospects just as much as the Tories, and it could potentially produce hung parliaments, with smaller more extreme groups gaining notable influence.

* It usually produces strong governments which are accountable to the electorate at regular intervals in general elections.

* Referenda are hijacked by the nay sayers and the big brother watchers/Mail readers and this is a debate that only political intellectuals are having. The rest of us would just like more access to politics and politicians from real world backgrounds. Labour is presently handing out all women short list seats, but how many of those women are from working class backgrounds? It's not the system that needs to change, it's the people in the system.

* Vital to keep the link with constituency MPs (one MP, one constituency) as anything else removes accountability, and not sure that AV will be any better.

* First past post with a radical reduction in the number of MPs (say, by 1 third), would ensure strong representative government.

* Clarity & certainty. Direct link between person elected and the elector.

* It is simple - has a clear constituency link and the wider general public understand the system. There should be no electoral reform without compulsory voting.

* Once elected MPs represent all their constituents, regardless of how they voted. We should pass legislation for a fully elected second chamber before the General Election.

* It's a shame that people might no be able to get the Green or Liberal Candidate that they want due to geography, but the fundamental strengh of the system is more important that that.

* Simple, effective, produces strong governments, does not give overdue power to Parties (as our crrent ridicculous system for European elections does), strong constituency link, allows voters to 'kick the buggers out'.

* Other voting systems let in extremist parties, like the BNP, as was the case in the most recent Euro Elections.

* If it aint broke, don't fix it.

* PR is thoroughly undemocratic, giving rise to undemocratic coalition government and power broker parties. The Lib Dems for example could effectively be in government permanently as a coalition partner, yet still consistently finish as the third party.

* I would prefer a system where I vote for an individual, whom I can hold accountable. However, I also believe that many practices associated with the party system are staggeringly undemocratic. The idea of whipping MPs to vote against their own beliefs is Orwellian.
       
SINGLE TRANSFERABLE VOTE
* STV gives a proportional result, whilst keeping a link between MPs and a geographic area. Voters can choose between candidates as well as parties. MPs should be more accountable.

* As long as the multi-member constituencies are relatively small (3-5 members each): it ensures there are no safe seats, retains the constituency link (and enables constituencies to reflect natural communities), whilst ensuring that extremist parties do not hold power in potential coalition governments.

* It's the system that gives proper representation in Parliament, consistent with the numbers of votes cast. It's fair, transparent and will stop government by minority.

* Takes power away from the executive and the party system. Keeps enough of a constituency link (3 MPs for a merged triple constituency - pretty good).

* Does not involve a top-up like AV+ and therefore avoids the perils of the top-up MPs becoming second-class MPs (as with the AMS system in Scotland).

* STV should be brought in immediately for councils in England and Wales. The wards are already mostly multi-member so this fits STV like hand in glove.

* It gives the best reflection of public opinion.

* STV is the most democratic and thorough system. It enables greater choice within and without political parties. Multi-member constituencies would allow electors to lobby MPs who are closer to their opinions. STV would mean that there would be greater participation prior to elections by the 'ordinary' voter. One never hears about elections held under STV as being 'rigged'; this is because they are the most exhaustive and therefore, most democratic.

* Gives voters the most choice and preserves the constituency link.

* It’s the best system, proportional, fair, non majoritarian, would connect us with our roots and supporters again, abolishes safe seats and has a proven track record in local government elections in Scotland.

* Failure of elections to reflect the votes actually cast. For example, the Tories (79 - 97) did not achieve over 50% of votes cast but had a majority. Same for Labour (97 - present). Only coalitions reflect what the electorate want but this can lead to (sometimes) the tail wagging the dog - ref the Greens debacle at the Scottish Parliament.

* Simply: It maximises voter choice, whilst maintaining a constituency link.

* Puts the elector in command rather than the political party.

* Removes tactical voting, full expression of true preference, more proportional.

* More truly represents votes of the electorate - reduces the risk that a Government with a minority of the vote wins power!

* As a Labour voter in S W England, my vote has only counted in two general elections from the ten I have voted in.

* STV is a much fairer system and would completely change the way in which British politics currently works.

* Every vote counts in a single member constituency.

* Puts power in the hands of voters not parties. Keeps accountability of MPs to constituencies.

* No wasted vote. Enable the Labour/LibDem/Green anti-Tory front.

488 people were polled between Monday 27th and Wednesday 29th July. Of those, 320 (66%) identified themselves as Labour members or supporters.

Posted on Jul 30, 2009 at 06:22pm

13 Comments · Show / Hide
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While the subject is "hot" I should like to explain why I asked the questions in my earlier message.

Frankly I do not think that a referendum held without the kind of intensive pre-referendum educational process, as recommended by Roy Jenkins in his 1998 report, would come out in favour of electoral reform; and FPTP would prevail. In any case as the Tories seem the more likely to "win" the next election under FPTP they will just ignore the referendum whatever its result and we shall be lumbered with FPTP for the foreseeable future.

In my view a much safer course would be for the present government to introduce AV BEFORE the next election. (Many Labour MP’s are in favour of AV) This could be done quickly and easily and (since it is STV in single-member consituencies) would be a logical stepping-stone to the proportional STV in multi-member consituencies.

In this regard I would just draw attention to the last two paras of the ERS’s study of AV which read as follows:-

"18 AV could be introduced quickly and simply - it would not require complex legislation, new boundaries or a referendum.

19 There is valid debate on whether or not AV would hasten the introduction of a more proportional system. Its intrinsic merits may mean that it persists for a considerable time. But there are avenues that lead from AV to further reform, such as hung parliaments, anomalous results, and harmony between component parts of the UK".

I myself would suggest that there would be merit in the very fact of getting rid of FPTP and introducing the electorate to a clearly more rational system which would make them more ready to acccept radical change

It is my guess that, once AV was introduced, its generally accepted merits - limited as they are - would mean that the Tories would find great popular resistance to any proposals to revert to FPTP; so the road to STV in multi-member constituencies would still be open when more favourable circumstances arose.

Joe Patterson @ 33 weeks ago
I should like to know who undertook the survey. Was it a scientific polling organisation like Mori for instance?

And who were the 488 people polled(a very small poll in any case)? Were they taken from the electorate as a whole or were they from the comparatiely small more electorally informed section of the electorate. In short how reliable is this poll?
Joe Patterson @ 33 weeks ago
Why is AV a logical choice for reform?

Anything AV can do, STV does even better

It would take officials from the various Boundary Commissions (England, Scotland, Wales and N. Ireland) about one week to come up with a set of merged constituencies, based on existing Westminster boundaries. If they're struggling I could give them a hand?

So AV is not the logical choice at all, STV is THE logical choice because not only does it retain the constituency link but it actually enhances this property by delivering REAL choice in the polling booth.

The only logical element of AV is that it might (emphasis on the word "might") work in favour of Labour Candidates contesting seats where a clear majority of voters exhibit left of centre sentiment. In other words AV will consolidate the anti-Conservative bloc of voters in some constituencies.

So the clear logic of AV is driven primarily by narrow tribal advantage, nothing more and nothing less!

So AV maybe as simple as 1,2,3 but so is STV and what's more it gives voters real choice - funny but I always thought it was voters who counted in a democracy, not the interests of any individual party?

The message flowing from this polls is clear - if Labour MPs are serious about saving their electoral bacon, better get with the programme. Publicly endorse the call for a referendum on the same day as the next election and also demand that the voters are given the chance to express their choice on the ballot paper - like this for example?

Question 1 - Do you favour a change to the present (FPTP) voting method used for Westminster Parliamentary Elections - YES / NO

Question 2 - Which voting method would you choose to replace the present (FPTP) voting method - AV+ / STV

If the answer to question one receives the backing of more than 50% of the voters, whichever method receives majority backing in Question 2 becomes the new system for Westminster elections

A simple method for delivering a clear answer to these questions!
Peter Davidson @ 33 weeks and 1 day ago
AV is a logical choice for reform: It would retain the present parliamentary constituencies, together with the direct link to a specific member of parliament. No lengthy boundary changes would be required making it's implementation swift and practical. Every MP would require 50 % of the vote to be elected, every vote would count, no vote would be wasted and the need for tactical voting would be eliminated under this preferential system. AV would crucially produce clear and decisive electoral results with majority governments elected...... it's successful use in Australia is testimony to this. FPTP is no longer sustainable.....it was designed for a period of time when the only choice on a ballet paper was between two candidates, it now produces far too many wasted votes and declining turnouts. AV.... it's as simple as 123!
Dylan Lewis @ 33 weeks and 2 days ago
Thanks Alex,

An eye opener.
Ralph Baldwin @ 33 weeks and 2 days ago
I'd like to see all constituency boundaries redrawn in order to have roughly equal numbers of voters in each. There is currently some large variation.

FPTP does it for me, warts n all. It ain't perfect by any means but is the simplest way. One box, one 'x'. Easy-peasy.
Billy Bob @ 33 weeks and 3 days ago
"...it would damage Labour's electoral prospects just as much as the Tories..."

...er, so your ideal is a system that would skew the field in your favour? What a great reason to keep FPTP.

Hurrah for democracy.
James Harmston @ 33 weeks and 3 days ago
What an excellent idea to have a referendum on the voting system at the next election (which should also be a.s.a.p) but just to show Labour are truly democratic and 'trustworthy' why not include a referendum on the Lisbon treaty at the same time.
Bob Roberts @ 33 weeks and 3 days ago
It would probably be illegal to hold the Lisbon Treaty referendum after the Treaty has been ratified by all the other countries. We would not be a sovereign state at that point, we would be the equivalent of a province of the European state with only devolved powers.

See: http://eureferendum.blogspot.com/2004/10/constitution-analysis.html


Tom Sacold @ 33 weeks and 3 days ago
Whether it would be illegal or not I don't know, but it would certainly be pointless as the treaty will have been signed and ratified.

we haven't been a 'sovereign' state for years - in a globalised world there is no such thing. the question is simply which bloc we see ourselves as part of, and as there is only one on offer, its really a bit of a non-discussion
Mike Homfray @ 33 weeks and 3 days ago
"we haven't been a 'sovereign' state for years - in a globalised world there is no such thing. the question is simply which bloc we see ourselves as part of, and as there is only one on offer, its really a bit of a non-discussion"

That's really depressing Mike.
Charlie Farley @ 33 weeks and 3 days ago
Charlie, Mike,

Our 'sovereign state' status took a battering in 1956 when the Americans pulled the plug on us over Suez and, when push comes to shove in serious foreign affairs matters, we have not recovered our pre-1956 status.

No empire lasts for ever : one day, even US dominance will erode and the reason won't be military - it'll be economic and the writing has started to be put down on paper ( I would hazard a guess that the pen was first dipped in the ink in the late 1990s).

C'est la vie ....
Peter Barnard @ 33 weeks and 3 days ago
Mike Homfray: "No empire lasts for ever : one day, even US dominance will erode and the reason won't be military - it'll be economic and the writing has started to be put down on paper ( I would hazard a guess that the pen was first dipped in the ink in the late 1990s)."

Mike / Charlie - if you're looking for THE classic text on this long established trend, can I suggest you look no further than Emmanuel Wallerstein's seminal paper, "The Curve of American Power" which can be found here:
http://users.skynet.be/bk335835/NLR27405.pdf (downloads PDF)
Peter Davidson @ 33 weeks and 1 day ago