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Genuine regionalism could save the economy and Labour

UKBy Sam Bacon  / @SamBaconSam

Looking at the 2005 general election map at the start of the animation by Philip Palfrey of the University of Sheffield (right) there are two startling visual traits. The first is that from the 2005 general election, almost all of the significant clusters of Labour constituencies are based around the major urban conurbations of England, and - given the geographical distribution the major cities of England - nearly the entire north of England was red in 2005. The second stunning part of this animation is that as the hypothetical swing towards the Conservatives grows, given the distribution of Labour constituencies, it is the city constituencies that start to turn blue.

To me, this reveals a startling truth: despite what centrist politics seems to believe, the battle for the election is not in rural 'middle England' but as Cameron seems to have realised; the key to election victory is winning and holding our major cities and their wider city regions.

Unfortunately, when it comes to policy, this truth seems to remain an open secret in Westminster. Statistically as of 2008, the 8 major cities outside of London (Bristol, Birmingham, Leeds, Liverpool, Manchester, Newcastle, Nottingham and Sheffield), and their wider city regions, are responsible for 27.4% of England’s Gross Value Adde (greater than London itself) and are home to 31% of the country's working age population.

It is clear, therefore, that for the UK economy to succeed, our major cities and their surrounding partners must also succeed, not just London and the south east. Put simply, the future of the economy is in a genuine devolved regionalism giving growth and prosperity to all regions of England and not simply the South East.

However, the opportunity that these statistics point to has sadly never been fully realised or developed by Governments of either colour since the start of the local government modernisation programme in the 1980s.

At this point, I should declare an interest in this topic. I’m a northerner, born and bred. And unlike a large number of my friends and university contemporaries, I still live in the north. But I know that sooner or later, if I want to push my career to its fullest, I will have to move to London. I happen to work in the world of politics and the public sector, but the same sentiment could be applied to almost any other industry: journalism, law, finance, central government, charity work, publishing, PR, etc. Those of us from ‘the regions’ (as they are often unhelpfully labelled by central government) simply do not see a future in our own communities; we are constrained by policy and practice to move to London which ultimately further enriches the self fulfilling cycle of London-centric policy and behaviour.

I believe no young person growing up in 21st century Britain should feel that there is a glass ceiling on their career because of where they live. But as long as they do, the south east (and London in particular) will remain on track to be economically overheated and statistically overpopulated - and the rest of our regions will lag behind.  Government must challenge this and make plans and proposals to unlock the massive potential that exists outside of our fair capital.

This isn’t just a case for philanthropy towards the regions, however. The communities outside of London have earned their place at the political decision making table. And as with any other self respecting northerner, I am not whining for a handout from London. Over the past decade, there has been an urban renaissance in our cities, with places like Manchester, Leeds, Liverpool and Sheffield truly turning themselves around and becoming desirable, modern, economically competitive cities. But they have done this in spite of the Government's policy towards local authorities, rather than because of them. The leaders and people of our cities have simply got on with the job of developing their communities into successful, vibrant and attractive places to live and work. However, there is so much more that could still be achieved.

The overwhelming trend of Labour’s past 13 years in office has been to centralise power away from local authorities and into the hands of central government bodies. Compared to the OECD average, for English local councils very little (around 17%) of their finance is locally raised. Too little local money is available to spend without ringfencing, and only now is the prospect of devolving decisions in areas such as transport, skills and housing - in a way similar to the powers already held by the major of London - being considered, and only for Leeds and Manchester.

To be fair, the government have shown some interest in regional issues over the years, and would likely counter any centrist accusations with examples of the creation of RDAs, the further geographical decentralisation of the civil service, major funding and support for physical regeneration across the UK (and particularly the north) and other such schemes. Without getting into the success or failure of these schemes, even in the best case they have not gone far enough to truly unlock potential and give local places the power and responsibility to control their own destiny that a radical left wing devolutionary approach could bring.

With the election looming, the government must become more radical and commit to a truly devolutionary agenda. Allowing local "regions" to take back and develop powers and responsibilities in areas such as finance, skills, education, transport and housing and planning (amongst others) would show real commitment to the people outside of the south east, and a real commitment to creating a new, balanced and sustainable UK economy.

If Labour offered this support to the UK’s cities and regions, it would offer a real change and be a compelling vision of the UK’s future that voters could believe in. It would ignite a vision for the country, and rekindle people’s connection with their local politicians and MPs, who would be more able to reflect and deliver local priorities and commitments. Further, it would deliver the balanced and sustainable growth that the recession has so clearly shown this country needs.

All well and good, but does the prospect of voters getting excited about devolution sound a little far fetched? Here’s a little known fact: of the eight regional capitals in England outside of the south east, half are under the direct council control of the Lib Dems, and they share power in a further two. In all they have direct or indirect control in six of the eight biggest metropolitan authorities in the country. This fact alone should provide a shocking wake up call to all Labour members. Is it a coincidence that the Lib Dems have been the loudest party when calling for greater devolution and pursuing a ‘localist’ agenda and have now ended up in control of the majority of our biggest cities? Or has the public in these areas responded to their calls for greater regional power and the vision of a country and economy no longer fixated on the south east?

Many Labour activists like to think that all Lib Dem gains are made purely because of local ‘protest votes’ towards the national party. That not only underestimates the Lid Dems, it more importantly disenfranchises the people of these cities, suggesting that they don’t really understand or respond to policy. Both are dangerous assumptions to make.

This is not a call for London to fail; London should succeed. But along with the rest of the country, it is an underused resource that has more economic capacity then is currently being used. And it is not a call to appeal to the core vote in the north. It is a call for Labour to develop plans to genuinely and radically devolve power and responsibility to regions and cities, and allow places to take control of their own economic and social destiny.

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Posted on Feb 09, 2010 at 08:24am

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Hi Sam,
I think you under estimate the pull of some of our cities.

The West Midlands for instance is still the beating heart of the industrial sector.

Maybe it's not the same kind of pull as London (Politics and Finance - though Edinburgh might have looked a counterbalance before RBS went down the drain) but it does still pull in people from across the country who work in manufacturing or R&D for those companies and many overseas companies.

The major advantage London has is the unintended subsidy to the economy of all those civil service jobs that have still not been distributed evenly about the country.

Move those jobs and you move that subsidy. Move those jobs and you reduce the housing and transport pressure on the South East. Move those jobs, and you move people towards those areas easier to supply with electricity and water.

In essence a redistribution of the goverment payroll to the regions isn't just good for those regions, it's good for everyone.

(In case anyone thinks that this effects jobs in London. Obviously some effect, but look how many people decide to stay put in London and not move with the re-located jobs. What one sector loses, another gains from, providing we still nurture what London is good at as much as any other key sector of the economy.)
Thomas Fairfax @ 4 weeks ago
Hi Everyone,
First of all, thanks for the comments. To respond to a couple;

1) I have no idea what 'The Plan' is or who Mr Hannah is. However, I do believe that if other political parties have good ideas we shouldn't be afraid to recognise it. I'm interested in politics because I want to see the best possible outcomes for the people of this country, not because of some blind loyalty only to the party. So if Lib Dems or Tories have solid ideas for the country, I wouldn't in theory be against them simply because they've been proposed by another party (the thing is of course, I very very rarely think the other parties ever have the right ideas). However, I genuinely have no idea what the book you mention is.

2) Thanks for the link Devon Chap, thats an interesting article. I still remain unconvinced though, would the marginal seats in question be numerically enough to give the conservatives the swing they need to take power? And based on the graphic that prompted me to write the article, it still looks to me that as the swing changes it is around the major city regions where the colour changes happen in any real numerical significance. And I think the Conservatives push for the North shows they recognise that.

3) Graeme I think that's a fair point and it's down to poor wording on my part. I think devolving to areas that actually make sense is best, which in the most case would be city regions I think. You are right, giving power to say, 'the north west' isn't actually all that effective, power and governance needs to bare actual relation to where the real economies and working patterns are.

As as I said in the article, the cities currently have Lib Dem's as the most dominant party, so i'm not sure that a devolution of power would automatically mean that Labour would take control. I think Labour will only take control if they show people in these cities that they are serious about letting them forge their own path and develop their own economy. At the moment, Labour are being left behind in this type of local policy and I think if we don't enact it, someone else clearly will and will reap the economic rewards of such a policy (as I imply in the article).
Sammy B @ 4 weeks ago
Reviving local government is good - but I'm unconvinced by actual regionalism.

Regionalism has always been culturally strong in the UK but politically weak. There seems little real voter enthusiasm for it. The media have often been hostile, too. As proposed, regionalism is a 'top-down' effort, not a popular, grass-roots movement.

Often regionalism is linked to the abolition of county councils. It would remove one level of government and replace it with another. Yet regions are clearly bigger, and less local, than county councils. Do we really want that?

City-regions might result in more Labour party control, because the cities would outvote the less-populated countryside in many cases,but that's not a good reason to to it!

Most devolution in Europe has been to historic nations/regions that have suffered active repression from the centre (e.g. Basque country during Franco). Clearly that's relevant to some extent in Scotland and Wales (e.g. repression of the Welsh language).

How much regional identity does the South-East zone of England have?

Is Cornwall (Kernow) to be lumped in with Devon, or separate?
Graeme Kemp @ 4 weeks ago
Oh dear, someone has been reading The Plan. Mr Hannah will be pleased.
Roger J. Davies @ 4 weeks ago
Devon chap - thanks for pointing me to the article.

As a Scottish voter it tells me that for all Labour's bluster over the importance of Labour in Scotland it is so much bull and if the SNP are looking at this article they must be rubbing their hands with glee over Labour's failure to deal with the real politik of Holyrood that will be reflected in May's national results. Whether Labour returns all or no MP's from Scotland it will not effect the result as to who controls Westminster.

Have a look at how Labour's current national tactics for May 2010 are playing in Scotland from the Holyrood magazine - http://www.holyrood.com/index.php?option=com_holyrood&func=article&artid=3295&edition=227&brick=2

The Jimmy Maxton quote says it all about Labour's problems in Scotland: "The party, especially in Holyrood, needs to rediscover its Scottish roots and to quote the words of the famous Clydeside MP, Jimmy Maxton, ‘If you can’t ride two horses at the same time, then you’re no good in this bloody circus.’"

Regionalism will be a disaster for the central control and command structure current in New Labour. The very structure that is wrecking the party in Scotland, New Labour just have not learnt from devolution when you give people back power and control over their lives they see quickly that they want more. 80% of Scots want full fiscal autonomy, Murphy's jam tomorrow just plays right into the SNP's hands because the key to May is not poll results but the scary figure for New Labour that 82% want change because they feel the country is just not working and is 'broken'.
Peter Thomson @ 4 weeks ago
"Allowing local "regions" to take back and develop powers and responsibilities in areas such as finance, skills, education, transport and housing and planning (amongst others) would show real commitment to the people outside of the south east, and a real commitment to creating a new, balanced and sustainable UK economy."

Isn't this a Conservative policy, that certain tax-raising powers should be devolved so local money pays for local infrastructure? I'm sure I remember reading it somewhere. Or perhaps it was in 'The Plan'. I forget.
Johan Collet @ 4 weeks ago
Interesting to cite looking at politcial betting as giving you an insight taht the election will we won or lost in the big cities, since that isn't their view.

Today they have an article that the marginals "don't concentrate in Wales, Scotland, London, the major cities or the truly rural areas. They aren't really regional. They are heavily concentrated in Medium English Towns and their Hinterlands ". They even have a map to change your insight

http://politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2010/02/09/is-it-because-the-marginals-are-different/
Devon Chap @ 4 weeks ago
A thought-provoking article. I was, however, struck by this sentence:

"...the creation of RDAs, the further geographical decentralisation of the civil service, major funding and support for physical regeneration across the UK (and particularly the north..."

I can't see that RDAs are part of any regional solution. Here in the North-East, they are considered by many to be part of the problem. They suck resources up from central government and use them very poorly in creating jobs and wealth. They have got themselves a very smart office though.

The geographical decentralisation of the civil service amounts to anyone who's "not senior enough" to be in London - call centre operatives, junior management, administration etc. Why aren't the top brass up here?

On a more general note, I can't understand why anyone lives in London these days. Give me the banks of the Tyne any day...

james mcmichael @ 4 weeks ago