The "Countering the coalition" column
In the previous three parts, I have covered various opportunities that have arisen from the peculiarity of a coalition government, argued that the coalition will remain intact until the end of the parliament and why Labour should not try to drive a wedge between the two parties. The first trilogy was about what we should do, this next one will try to explain how to do it. It is lots of fun and easy to do, but the Labour Party needs to be disciplined enough to resist attacking the Lib Dems over the betrayal of their voters. As the parable of the Labour MP on a cliff edge goes: kick off the Tory before the Lib Dem; put business before pleasure.
In many ways, this is not the New Politics but an even more secure return to two-party politics. As much as we would like to say that it was Labour that denied the Tories the majority they took for granted, until the Lib Dems gave it to them, the increased number of ‘others’ in the commons make it more and more difficult for any party to win a majority. This is the real damage done by the Lib Dems, and perhaps in the future we will have to add the Greens to that list.
To that extent, we should prepare ourselves for two party politics and focus our arguments against the real enemy of the Tory Party.
It is important to remember the real reason that the coalition exists: the Tories could not get a majority by themselves. The fact that Conservatives released the “Hung Parliament” scare video should show that they invited the Lib Dems into the government not by choice but by necessity. Cameron will rightly want to go it alone as soon as he can, though given his own announcements on fixed terms and dissolution he will have to bide his time unlike Wilson in 1974. Even if Cameron does wish to continue the coalition for a second term, it will be almost impossible to convince his backbenchers.
The key point is that the coalition is not a marriage of two equal partners; it is a hostile takeover of a big company consuming a little one, and not all the Lib Dem shareholders will agree.
A similar example is President Sarkozy’s party, the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP). Few people realise that his government is actually UMP-Nouveau Centre. The Nouveau Centre was originally part of the Mouvement Democrate (MoDem), a party very similar to our Liberal Democrats, which will be a point of focus in Part Five, but it was formed by a group of MPs who decided to break away and ally with Sarkozy.
The worry for the UMP is that the Nouveau Centre will present its own candidate in the presidential election in 2012, draining a few important percentage points away from Sarkozy and at a time where he is currently on level pegging with the Socialist Leader Martine Aubry. The Nouveau Centre thus tries to assert its independence despite not having any, being a tiny minority within the government.
The lesson from France is that the best kind of Lib Dem squeeze for Labour will be to drop all the clumsy and ineffective lines it has been using since May. References to the “ConDem Party” and repetition of the word “coalition” and “betrayal” serve no purpose except that it creates a novelty factor that will undoubtedly prolong the honeymoon period.
It is appropriate to treat the coalition not as something strange but as something that is all too familiar; this is a Tory Government in all but name. It is up to Labour to call it as it is.
By doing this, it takes away the room to manoeuvre that both parties are currently enjoying. They cannot keep using the excuse that their weakness, hypocrisy, u-turns and climb-downs are simply a result of having to compromise, and that it is the “other party” that is responsible for all the bad things while they take the credit for the rest. In interviews, you can be sure that when things are going well a Conservative will represent the government but when it gets tough, they will wheel out a hapless Lib Dem fall guy. We have already seen it on Question Time over the last few weeks.
This reinforcement of collective responsibility is the only way Labour can hold the government to account from opposition. The central theme is not to play on what the Lib Dems have done to form the coalition but instead Labour should emphasise their similarities over their differences. It is vital that any Lib Dems who would associate themselves more with the left come to Labour instead of "others" however, it is possible that protest voting is just a component of the Lib Dem DNA.
Ultimately, we have to keep in mind that the Lib Dems are just there to make up the numbers on the Tory backbenches. We should therefore show them up as what they are: useful idiots.
Repeatedly, the Tories have taken advantage of the Lib Dems who are hopelessly out of their depth and essentially benign in that the Tories are winning the internal arguments so easily. On the economy, on foreign policy, on Europe, on health, immigration, families and more the Tories get their way, and that is just the original coalition agreement. It is clear that the Liberal leadership is content to let the Conservatives run free, providing that they get a ride on the odd hobbyhorse. Instead of proportional representation, a referendum on proportional representation or the alternative vote, they seem to be happy with a paltry referendum on the alternative vote, which the Conservatives (and Labour if we have any sense) will oppose. There is no better example of giving a baby its bottle without literally presenting Clegg with one. Before the election, the Lib Dems were given an inflated amount of publicity which Labour now needs to suffocate by sidelining and dismissing the yellow dummies at the back.
Here I have described how Labour should change its response to the Lib Dems; in Part Five I will examine how the Lib Dems have changed by themselves.
You can read Hadleigh Roberts' blog at hadleighroberts.co.uk
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But I don't agree with Hadleigh about AV. This is likely to be our one chance at voting reform in this generation. Yes, it is not PR and yes it is disappointing but it is better than FPTP. Do Labour MPs really want to be seen to vote to retain FPTP? And to be a party against change? Yes, the Tories have cleverly added in the controversial constituency size issue, which Clegg has not been fast footed enough to avoid. In failing to do so, he may have damaged his chances to get and win the referendum, which I guess is the Tory game plan.....
http://www.wolverhampton.gov.uk/council/elections/by/290710/results.htm
64% of the vote in what was a 90 vote tory seat, LD's decimated to 5th behind UKIP and BNP
yet they took a ward from labour in bath, clear splits in the LD by the recent by election results
no wonder the LD leader in liverpool was so unhappy
Remember, 52% of the electorate voted Labour or LD.
And that was before the coalition cuts start to bite.
something is happening and clear and northern LD's can not take this for ever yet the Southern LD's making gains, no party can cope with that
Labour voters won't see the point in voting Libdem anymore but more Tories may vote Libdem in the marginals to keep Labour out.
We are in uncharted waters.
We don't need a huge number of Southern seats: 1997 was a blip and we won places which aren't really ours - and I think it made the government more cautious in consequence
Will try to return over next couple of days too.
Bye for now, Jo.
I don't disagree that we should show this government up to be the hard right Tory government it clearly is. But I do disagree that we should only be doing this. We also need to stop the mendatious Lib Dems from trying to squirm off the hook for the worst of the policies, and if we don't tie them to the worst that this Government is doing, who will?
This campaign is a marathon, not a sprint. and will have many phases. As the honeymoon fades, and the cuts kick in, there will be plenty of time to (continue to) point out the economic madness presented to us as sense.
Labour need to have a strong offer to Lib Dems sickened by what their party has done. We need to start again in civil liberties and campaign for AV (though I myself has misgivings) becuase these show us as willing to come to them. At the same time we need to decapitate the Orange Book Hydra at the top of thier party and show them that if it comes to dealing with us next time, it won't be Clegg, Alexander or Cable who get to play. As ye sow so shall ye reap.
I think this is a very strong point.
Hadleigh's pieces make it evident that he is more used to working with coalition politics, or at least political systems where people are thrown together more. International colleagues have a lot to teach us.
You're approach sets us up for another fiasco such as Brown's where the loyal support the inept.
and a function of any party is to attack the opposition, what we are seeing is the greatest revolution in the public services in my lifetime, a revolution Thatcher did not dare to do.
A revolution that will leave the weak and poor behind to fight on in market conditions, markets always have losers, public services should be for all, not just for the winners.
The function of a party is not to attack the opposition. That is wildly simplistic. Surely the function of a political party is to offer a vision (and mechanisms to fulfil that vision) that enough people are willing to support so that the party can form a government. Everything else is a cheap sideshow.
These continual attacks on the LibDems will not work. I believe that the electorate are sophisticated enough to understand that where there is no majority, comprise is inevitable. That is what happens in the lives of millions of families throughout the country.
The Labour party needs to understand, pretty sharpish, that discredited ex-minsters playing the game they have always played is busted flush with the electorate. That is why Balls is so unpopular in the country...
I said if you read it properly
A function of a party
unless you think labour should sit back and allow with no dispute the privatisation of Education and NHS ?
I don't think Labour should sit back at all. They should articulate a reasoned and costed alternative. I accept that the party is in limbo until the leadership is decided, but carrying on the same kind of attacks that they did whilst in power is not achieving anything.
The other point I would make is this. If the previous government hadn't spent so freely, the ConDems would not have the cover that they are now using so effectively: "we have to cut because you spent money we don't have".
Ian, simply attacking your opponents because they are doing what they told the electorate they would do (something that Darling said Labour would do as well), will not sit well with the electorate. Most people accept the argument that cuts are needed. When cuts happen, people suffer. But the electorate is prepared for that. If they weren't they wouldn't have voted for their chosen party. And that includes those who voted Labour.
Your assertion that "a function of any party is to attack the opposition" is totally outdated. Cruddas spoke of this 2 weeks ago. It’s just silly and the electorate are sick of it. Mostly they see through this and it costs you votes.
Your final paragraph is full of emotion but little of fact. The sad fact is without a market most people get sod all and drive a trabant - which is nice.
On the public service front, we are diametrically opposed. I believe in markets, where they are appropriate, but markets controlled by compassionate Labour politicians.
In a public service capacity the introduction of a market doesn't say the poor get left behind, it says we need to deliver services and can do more with the money we have. Now that is positive. The general public have bought into this. Closing your mind to this says your ideology is more important than the service being delivered.
As to the market do you deny then that there are no losers, if so what happened to the banks then ?
what happens if hospitals lose funding, you prepared to agree to a closure of your local one forcing you to go miles ?
Simon if you are a memember check your card nothing about markets in it
The banks were a failure of regulation not the market. We let them run amok and screw us, and do you know what there were two things we could have done let them go bust or save them. Would you have let them fail?
I'm not happy to see a hospital close, why would I? But why are you asking me this question? This is have the issue in the debates people have, you over cook the reaction. I'm not advocating the closure of hospitals.
Wont even bother with the last sentence.
That is one of the strangest statements that I have read, with its inherent contradictions.
Yes the failure to tighten regulation was a cause, but hang on all the free market people wanted LESS regulation
the failure was due to the market and greed in primary causes, the bankers wanted their massive bonuses, without checking teh quality of what they were buying and selling
Simon are you advocating more regulation ?
Leave neo-liberalism to the ConDems, because they really do believe in it.
It's the way the "markets" are used that bothers me.
Add to that an ideology of "small state" and dismantling public services- a recipe for a "deprived" society in my opinion.
Look to the extremes of this seen in USA in the past(eg 80's)- and we can see the results.
I think Simon Schama referred to the tension between "Wall St and Main St."
Markets and businesses help to fuel the economy, but they have to be put to good use, have ethical constraints; and not be left to become self serving and corrosive; eventually sucking the life out of
the "glue" that hold societies together.
We need a complimentary system, but ethics are vital.
the strange thing is how a market failure is blamed on the public sector and we have to turn that around to make the clear statement the public sector saved the market from a total collapse the world would never recover from
In supermarkets, banking, financial services, gas, electricty, water, petrol, telecoms etc there are no more than 3 or 4 companies which dominate each sector. In some only 1 or 2.
If Adam Smith, Malthus and Gladstone were alive they would be horrified at the lack of competition in all these vital sectors.
The new leader has some very easy targets with which to rally public opinion in his favour, these companies are universally disliked and a crusade against "rip-off" big business would be popular.